UFC Vegas 124 Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker: BetOnline Moneylines + Fight-by-Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker (UFC Vegas 124 / UFC Fight Night 293): Saturday, November 7, 2026, Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada. Prelims 2:00 PM PT, main card 5:00 PM PT, the whole card on Paramount+. Fourteen fights: six on the main card and eight on the prelims, no early prelims. The heavyweight main event between Waldo Cortes-Acosta (No. 6 on UFC.com's event page) and Johnny Walker is scheduled for five rounds; everything else is three. It's a reshuffled card: Sean Brady withdrew from his main event with Gabriel Bonfim on October 29 with a staph infection, and Walker took the new headliner on nine days' notice.

BetOnline American moneylines come first, then the card fight by fight: each fighter's style, how they defend, what they throw most, and how they actually win. Favorites in red, underdogs in green. Records, ages, finish breakdowns and rate stats come from UFC.com athlete pages; the card order comes from UFC.com's event page (cross-checked with Wikipedia); late changes come from UFC.com, Sherdog, MMA Junkie and MMA Mania. Where a file is thin (UFC debuts, one or two UFC fights), I say so.

BetOnline board (snapshot)

Cortes-Acosta −227 / Walker +190
Suarez −205 / Jandiroba +173
Grant +260 / Smith −318
Elekana +273 / Fernando −335
Cachoeira +387 / Milošević −500
Raposo +194 / Degli −232
Nakamura −360 / Schmid +291
Lorenço +145 / Petersen −171
Karine Silva −228 / Fernandes +191
Delano −118 / Magomedov +101
Bashi −430 / Calderon +340
Kondratavičius −300 / Petroski +247
Ko −700 / Turman +500
Parsons +193 / Souza −230

Odds source: BetOnline.ag's own UFC Vegas 124 board (Martial Arts → MMA), read directly off the sportsbook on Thursday, November 5, 2026, ~9:07 AM PT. All 14 bouts had a BetOnline moneyline at the snapshot; none are missing. The closest number on the board is Delano −118 / Magomedov +101, a near pick'em. The prelim opener has the newcomer as the underdog: Lorenço is +145 against the UFC veteran Petersen. Lines move, especially on a card that changed this late.

Card changes: Brady vs. Bonfim was canceled after Brady withdrew (staph infection) and Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker was booked as the new five-round main event. Lucas Brennan withdrew from his fight with Austin Bashi (ACL tear) and was replaced by newcomer Carlos Calderon on four days' notice. Thomas Petersen replaced Alvin Hines (vertigo) against Gabriel Lorenço, and Andre Petroski replaced Wesley Schultz against Mantas Kondratavičius. Weigh-ins are Friday, after this snapshot.

Main card

Waldo Cortes-Acosta (−227) vs Johnny Walker (+190), heavyweight, 5 rounds

Cortes-Acosta (17-4, age 35): "Salsa Boy" is a 6'4" Dominican striker (UFC.com lists his style as Striker) out of UKF Gym with a 78" reach. He's a volume boxer for a heavyweight: 5.03 significant strikes landed per minute against 3.44 absorbed, 48% accuracy, 55% strike defense and 70% takedown defense. He's a head hunter (72% of his significant strikes go to the head) and 87% of his work happens standing. He has 9 KO/TKO wins, 1 submission (a kimura) and 7 decisions, and all four of his losses are decisions, so he's never been stopped. Recent run: a TKO of Ante Delija, a first-round KO of Shamil Gaziev and a second-round TKO of Derrick Lewis in January, then back-to-back decision losses to Alexander Volkov in May and Curtis Blaydes in September. He fought five times in 2025 and has been active all year.

Walker (23-10, 1 NC, age 34): A 6'6" Brazilian finisher out of Porrada Training Center with an 82" reach, the longest in this fight by four inches. He's one of the most explosive starters in the sport: 18 KO/TKO wins, 3 submissions (guillotine, 2 RNC) and only 2 decisions, with 18 first-round finishes and six finishes under a minute. He's unorthodox, with knees and spinning attacks in the mix, lands 3.98 per minute at 56% accuracy, and he's a heavy body attacker: 39% of his significant strikes go to the body. Defense is the question: 46% strike defense and 57% takedown defense, and he's been stopped by strikes by Corey Anderson, Jamahal Hill, Magomed Ankalaev and Volkan Oezdemir. He moved up to heavyweight at UFC 332 on October 3 and knocked out Mick Parkin with a knee in the first round, earning a Performance of the Night bonus (MMA Mania). Before that he lost a split decision to Dominick Reyes at light heavyweight. He has one five-rounder on his record, a decision loss to Thiago Santos.

How it plays out: Cortes-Acosta wants a high-volume boxing fight where he walks Walker down, keeps the punches coming and drags it into the later rounds. Walker wants it early: long kicks to the body, knees when Cortes-Acosta comes forward, and the kind of chaos that ends fights in the first five minutes. Cortes-Acosta has never been finished, which matters against a fighter who rarely goes the distance. Walker has the reach and the finishing upside; Cortes-Acosta has the pace, the durability and years of experience against heavyweight power.

Pick: Cortes-Acosta, by decision or late stoppage. Walker's first-round power is real, and at +190 the upset is very live if he lands early.

Tatiana Suarez (−205) vs Virna Jandiroba (+173), women's strawweight

Suarez (13-1, age 35): Listed No. 2 on the event page, and an elite wrestler: a two-time National High School Wrestler of the Year who wrestled at Lindenwood. She averages 4.52 takedowns per 15 minutes and 54% of her significant strikes land on the ground, where she does her damage. She has 7 submissions (two RNC, armbar, three guillotines, D'Arce), 2 KO/TKO wins and 4 decisions. The guillotine is her front-headlock weapon whenever an opponent shoots or ducks. She's not a defensive striker (44% strike defense) and her takedown defense is 57%, but she rarely ends up defending. Her one loss is a five-round decision to Zhang Weili in a February 2025 title fight. Since then: a decision over Amanda Lemos and a second-round RNC of Loopy Godinez in April.

Jandiroba (23-4, age 38): Listed No. 3, and a jiu-jitsu specialist (UFC.com: Jiu-Jitsu) with 14 submission wins: seven RNCs, five armbars, a triangle and an arm triangle. She has 1 KO/TKO and 8 decisions. She's never been finished; all four losses are decisions. Her striking is a means to an end (2.27 landed per minute, 56% defense), and she's a better takedown defender (73%) than her style suggests. She lost a five-round title fight to Mackenzie Dern in October 2025, then won a decision over Tabatha Ricci in April. This fight has been booked twice before (2023 and 2024) and fell through both times.

How it plays out: Two grapplers, different jobs. Suarez wants top position and heavy ground strikes; Jandiroba is dangerous off her back and in scrambles, so every Suarez takedown comes with a risk. Jandiroba needs Suarez to get careless on top; Suarez needs to control without feeding an arm.

Pick: Suarez by decision. Jandiroba's guard is the upset path.

Davey Grant (+260) vs Elijah Smith (−318), bantamweight

Grant (18-8, age 40): The TUF 18 finalist out of SBG Manchester has black belts in BJJ and kickboxing. He's a high-volume, durable striker: 5.58 significant strikes per minute, 55% strike defense, 65% takedown defense, and a real leg-kick habit (27% of his significant strikes go to the legs). He has 9 submissions (4 RNC, 3 guillotines, triangle, reverse triangle), 4 KO/TKO and 5 decisions. He's won five of his last seven: decisions over Ramon Taveras and Da'Mon Blackshear, a guillotine loss to Charles Jourdain last October, and a decision over Adrián Luna Martinetti in April.

Smith (10-1, age 23): The son of former UFC fighter Gilbert Smith is 17 years younger than his opponent and on an eight-fight win streak. He has 5 KO/TKO wins, 2 submissions (RNC, face crank) and 3 decisions. He mixes it up: 4.18 strikes per minute, 2.98 takedowns per 15 minutes, and 29% of his significant strikes come on the ground. He's 3-0 in the UFC: a decision over Vince Morales, a slam KO of Toshiomi Kazama and a second-round RNC of SuYoung You in March. Defense numbers are middling (47% strike defense, 53% takedown defense). Data caution: three UFC fights.

How it plays out: Grant wants a long, ugly volume fight with leg kicks. Smith wants to mix in takedowns and finish from the top. Grant has the experience and the volume; Smith has the age and the wrestling.

Pick: Smith by decision.

Billy Elekana (+273) vs Lucas Fernando (−335), light heavyweight

Elekana (10-2, age 31): A 6'3" fighter (77" reach) out of Porrada Training Center and Uprising MMA. He has 3 KO/TKO wins, 3 submissions (all RNC) and 4 decisions, and he's won six of his last seven. He's an accurate (56%) but low-volume striker at 2.71 per minute with 46% strike defense. In the UFC he lost his debut to Bogdan Guskov by guillotine, then won a decision over Ibo Aslan and back-to-back RNCs of Kevin Christian and Junior Tafa in January.

Fernando (14-3, age 29): A tall, long striker (6'3", 80" reach) from Rizzo RVT and a former two-division LFA champion (light heavyweight and middleweight). He has 8 KO/TKO wins, 2 RNCs and 4 decisions, and he's on a five-fight win streak. In his UFC debut at UFC 330 in August he stopped Rafael Tobias in the third round. His last loss came in a five-round LFA title fight against Azamat Bekoev in December 2023. Data caution: one UFC fight, so his rate stats are a small sample.

How it plays out: Fernando has the reach and the power and wants to keep it at range. Elekana's best path is to get his hands on him and hunt the back like he did in his last two wins.

Pick: Fernando by KO/TKO. An Elekana back-take is the upset path.

Priscila Cachoeira (+387) vs Nina Milošević (−500), women's bantamweight

Cachoeira (13-9, age 38): UFC.com lists her style as Brawler, and that's accurate: she walks forward throwing (4.35 per minute) and takes a lot back (7.45 absorbed per minute, 46% strike defense). She has 8 KO/TKO wins and 5 decisions. Her takedown defense (70%) is better than her grappling defense; she's been submitted five times in the UFC. She trains at Lioness Studio with Amanda Nunes and has lost three straight: a first-round KO by Joselyn Edwards, a decision to Klaudia Sygula and an armbar by Chelsea Chandler in June.

Milošević (9-1, age 30): A two-time IMMAF world champion and the first woman from Serbia to sign with the UFC. She's on a nine-fight win streak with 4 KO/TKO wins, 2 RNCs and 3 decisions; her only loss was a split decision in her pro debut. She debuted in August with a first-round TKO of Hailey Cowan. Data caution: one UFC fight; UFC.com doesn't list her height or reach.

How it plays out: Cachoeira will come forward and look for a brawl. Milošević is the more technical, more complete fighter and can win on the feet or take it to the mat.

Pick: Milošević by stoppage.

Mitch Raposo (+194) vs Marcos Degli (−232), flyweight

Raposo (11-3, age 27): A compact (5'5", 64.5" reach) fighter from New England Cartel with 4 KO/TKO wins, 3 submissions (2 RNC, arm triangle) and 4 decisions. He's a defensive, low-output fighter: 1.91 strikes landed per minute at 38% accuracy, but 61% strike defense and 68% takedown defense, with about two takedowns per 15 minutes. All four of his UFC fights went to decision: split losses to Andre Lima and Sumudaerji, a decision over Azat Maksum and a split decision over Allan Nascimento in June.

Degli (15-3, age 26): The former LFA flyweight champion makes his UFC debut on a 13-fight win streak. His nickname "Tailandês" comes from his Muay Thai background. He has 9 KO/TKO wins and 5 submissions and has gone to decision only three times in 18 pro fights. He earned his contract on the Contender Series in September with a second-round RNC of Paris Moran. Data caution: his UFC.com rate stats come from that one Contender Series fight.

How it plays out: Degli is the finisher and the bigger threat on the feet. Raposo wants to make it a long, close, grinding fight, which is where all of his UFC fights have ended up.

Pick: Degli, but the decision-heavy Raposo at +194 is a fair look.

Prelims

Keiichiro Nakamura (−360) vs Ollie Schmid (+291), featherweight

Nakamura (8-1, age 27): The first Japanese fighter to win the Road to UFC featherweight tournament. He knocked out Sebastian Szalay in the third round of the final in January. He's a striker (UFC.com: Striker) with 7 KO/TKO wins and an eight-fight win streak; his only loss was an arm triangle in his pro debut. Before fighting, he served in the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force. Data caution: UFC debut; his UFC.com numbers (64% strike defense, 79% takedown defense) come from Road to UFC.

Schmid (4-3, age 25): A City Kickboxing striker with a taekwondo black belt and a BJJ blue belt. All three of his wins are first-round KO/TKOs. He was stopped in the first round by Marwan Rahiki in his UFC debut in May. Data caution: one UFC fight.

How it plays out: Two strikers. Nakamura has the deeper résumé and the tournament experience; Schmid has to land early.

Pick: Nakamura by KO/TKO.

Gabriel Lorenço (+145) vs Thomas Petersen (−171), heavyweight

Lorenço (8-1, age 27): A Chute Boxe kickboxer (6'2", 76" reach) making his UFC debut on an eight-fight win streak. He has 6 KO/TKO wins and a guillotine, seven first-round finishes and three wins under a minute; he's been out of the first round only once. He earned his contract on the Contender Series in September with a first-round TKO of Charlie Cleveland. Data caution: his UFC.com rate stats come from that one Contender Series fight.

Petersen (11-5, age 31): UFC.com lists him as a Boxer, but he's a 2017 NJCAA national champion wrestler and fights like one: 2.95 takedowns per 15 minutes and 88% takedown defense. He has 7 KO/TKO wins, 1 submission (keylock) and 3 decisions. His UFC run has alternated: a debut decision loss to Jamal Pogues, decisions over Mohammed Usman, Don'Tale Mayes and Guilherme Pat, stoppage losses to Shamil Gaziev and Vitor Petrino, and a calf-slicer loss to Valter Walker in July. His lone pre-UFC loss came against Waldo Cortes-Acosta in 2022. He replaced Alvin Hines.

How it plays out: Lorenço is a fast-starting kickboxer who wants it standing. Petersen wants to wrestle, hold position and grind three rounds.

Pick: Petersen by decision, low confidence.

Karine Silva (−228) vs Gabriella Fernandes (+191), women's flyweight

Silva (19-7, age 32): A Fighting Nerds finisher (UFC.com: Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, No. 11 on the event page) with 9 KO/TKO wins and 8 submissions (heel hook, RNC, triangle, armbar, two guillotines, Brabo choke, kneebar). She's dangerous everywhere: 1.61 submission attempts per 15 minutes and 33% of her strikes go to the body. Her takedown defense is the weak spot at 26%. She's lost two straight decisions, to Maycee Barber in December and Jasmine Jasudavicius in April.

Fernandes (11-4, age 33): A Brazilian striker (No. 15 on the event page) at MMA Masters in Miami and a former LFA interim flyweight champion. She has 3 KO/TKO wins, 3 submissions (guillotine, 2 RNC) and 5 decisions. She absorbs more than she lands (3.51 landed, 5.31 absorbed per minute) with 53% strike defense and 69% takedown defense. She was knocked out by Casey O'Neill in the first round in March.

How it plays out: Silva has the submission game and the finishing upside; Fernandes needs to keep it standing and beat her on volume.

Pick: Silva by submission.

José Delano (−118) vs Murtazali Magomedov (+101), featherweight

Delano (17-3, age 29): A Brazilian Top Team striker (Muay Thai black belt, BJJ purple belt) and former Shooto Brasil champion who has won 16 of his last 17. He has 4 KO/TKO wins, 5 submissions and 8 decisions. In his UFC debut in April he won a decision over Robert Ruchala, landing 8.43 significant strikes per minute at 64% accuracy with 69% defense. Data caution: one UFC fight.

Magomedov (11-0, age 27): Undefeated, from Kyrgyzstan, and has never been to a decision: 5 KO/TKO wins and 6 submissions (twister, triangle, arm triangle, armbar, 2 RNC). He earned his contract with a first-round TKO on the Contender Series, then submitted Melsik Baghdasaryan with a twister in 1:17 in June. Data caution: one UFC fight lasting under two minutes.

How it plays out: Delano is the higher-volume striker and has gone three rounds plenty; Magomedov is the finisher who wants a scramble. The board has it a near coin flip.

Pick: Magomedov, low confidence, at plus money.

Austin Bashi (−430) vs Carlos Calderon (+340), featherweight

Bashi (14-2, age 24): An IBJJF world champion who wrestles a lot: UFC.com credits him with 6.09 takedowns per 15 minutes and 1.43 submission attempts per 15 minutes. He has 3 KO/TKO wins, 6 submissions and 5 decisions. Both his losses are recent decisions: to Christian Rodriguez in January 2025 and Jose Miguel Delgado in July. He's a low-volume striker (1.89 per minute).

Calderon (11-4, age 30): The Havoc MMA fighter and Fury FC featherweight champion takes this on four days' notice in his UFC debut, his second fight in 36 days. He has 2 KO/TKO wins and 6 submissions (four guillotines, two RNCs), including a fourth-round RNC of UFC veteran Damon Jackson to win the title in May. He's 5-1 since a Contender Series submission loss to Alberto Montes in 2024. Data caution: his UFC.com rate stats come from that one Contender Series fight.

How it plays out: Bashi wants to wrestle and control. Calderon's guillotine is a real danger to a fighter who shoots as much as Bashi does, but he's coming in on almost no notice.

Pick: Bashi by decision.

Mantas Kondratavičius (−300) vs Andre Petroski (+247), middleweight

Kondratavičius (9-1, age 27): A 6'2" Lithuanian (75.5" reach) with 6 KO/TKO wins, 2 submissions and one decision, including a six-second flying-knee KO. His UFC.com numbers are efficient: 4.97 strikes per minute at 66% accuracy, 1.30 absorbed, 92% takedown defense, and he takes it down himself (2.80 per 15 minutes at 40%). He earned his contract with a first-round TKO on the Contender Series and won a decision over Antonio Trocoli in his March debut. Data caution: one UFC fight.

Petroski (13-7, age 35): A wrestler-grappler out of Marquez MMA with 4 KO/TKO wins, 4 submissions (arm triangle, anaconda choke, kimura) and 5 decisions. He averages 3.13 takedowns per 15 minutes with 86% takedown defense, but only 52% strike defense, and he's been stopped by strikes four times in the UFC (Michel Pereira, Jacob Malkoun, Cam Rowston, Cody Brundage). He's lost three straight: a decision to Edmen Shahbazyan, then stoppages by Cam Rowston and Cody Brundage. He replaced Wesley Schultz.

How it plays out: Petroski needs takedowns and top control; Kondratavičius is the bigger hitter with good takedown defense and wants to punish the entries.

Pick: Kondratavičius by KO/TKO.

Ko Seok-hyeon (−700) vs Wellington Turman (+500), welterweight

Ko (13-3, age 32): A South Korean judo player (UFC.com: Judo) out of HAVAS MMA with 6 KO/TKO wins and 7 decisions. He mixes 3.00 takedowns per 15 minutes with a striking game built on defense (62% strike defense, 1.93 absorbed per minute). He's 2-1 in the UFC: decisions over Oban Elliott and Phil Rowe, then a decision loss to Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani in July.

Turman (18-8, age 30): A BJJ black belt (UFC.com: Jiu-Jitsu) from Teixeira MMA with 8 submissions (4 RNC, 3 guillotines, armbar), 4 KO/TKO and 6 decisions. Defense is the issue: 45% strike defense and 43% takedown defense. His last listed fight was a December 2023 RNC loss to Jared Gooden, his third straight loss (after decisions to Andre Petroski and Randy Brown), so he's returning from a layoff of almost three years.

How it plays out: Ko wants to clinch, throw and stay on top; Turman's guillotine and scrambles are his best chance.

Pick: Ko by decision. −700 is only parlay material.

Jonny Parsons (+193) vs José Henrique Souza (−230), welterweight

Parsons (9-3, age 32): "The Sluggernaut" is a Muay Thai striker with 7 KO/TKO wins and 2 decisions. In his one UFC fight, in July 2023, he stopped Danny Roberts with strikes at 4:57 of the second round; that's the last fight UFC.com lists for him. He landed 4.65 per minute with 60% strike defense there. Data caution: one UFC fight, and a long layoff.

Souza (9-1, age 24): A 6'3" Nova União striker (UFC.com lists his style as Jiu-Jitsu, but all six of his finishes are KO/TKOs; his nickname means "shin"). He was signed in 2023 but failed an out-of-competition drug test and served a two-year suspension. In his UFC debut in May he won a split decision over Ding Meng; 99% of his significant strikes came standing and 84% went to the head. His only loss was a Contender Series TKO by Yusaku Kinoshita in 2022.

How it plays out: A striking matchup. Souza has the size and recent activity; Parsons has the power and needs to make it a slugfest.

Pick: Souza by decision.

Data gaps

Several fighters have one UFC fight or less (Milošević, Fernando, Delano, Magomedov, Kondratavičius, Schmid, Souza, Parsons), so their UFC.com rate stats are small samples. Nakamura, Lorenço, Degli and Calderon make their UFC debuts, and their UFC.com numbers come from Road to UFC or the Contender Series. UFC.com doesn't list Milošević's height or reach, or Calderon's. UFC.com's athlete-record widget mislabels some results (it shows Cortes-Acosta's Blaydes and Volkov losses as wins), so I used the written fight-by-fight list in each bio. UFC.com's November 2 fight-by-fight preview listed an older main-card order; this follows the current event page and Wikipedia. Rankings are UFC.com event-page numbers; other trackers differ. Weigh-ins are Friday, so misses aren't reflected here.

Records, ages and stats from UFC.com athlete pages; card from UFC.com's event page, cross-checked with Wikipedia; late changes via UFC.com, Sherdog, MMA Junkie and MMA Mania. BetOnline odds read directly from BetOnline.ag; lines move.